UFC 200 has passed, and it was amazing! Before we get to Sioux Falls: McDonald vs Lineker, lets revisit the past week. On Saturday my picks went 4-7 (but provided a return of +0.75u profit), my picks went , on Friday my picks went 3-5, and the day before, 4-1. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 11-13 and has provided a profit of +3.87u assuming 1u per bet.
Full Fight Card:
|Bantamweight||+150 Michael McDonald||vs.||-160 John Lineker|
|Lightweight||-750 Tony Ferguson||vs.||+600 Landon Vannata|
|Middleweight||+200 Tim Boetsch||vs.||-220 Josh Samman|
|Heavyweight||+170 Daniel Omielańczuk||vs.||-185 Oleksiy Oliynyk|
|Welterweight||-155 Kyle Noke||vs.||+145 Keita Nakamura|
|Flyweight||+115 Louis Smolka||vs.||-125 Ben Nguyen|
|Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)|
|Women’s Bantamweight||-185 Lauren Murphy||vs.||+170 Katlyn Chookagian|
|Middleweight||+245 Eric Spicely||vs.||-265 Sam Alvey|
|Women’s Strawweight||+140 Cortney Casey||vs.||-150 Cristina Stanciu|
|Lightweight||-250 Scott Holtzman||vs.||+230 Cody Pfister|
|Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)|
|Bantamweight||+155 Rani Yahya||vs.||-170 Matthew Lopez|
|Middleweight||-210 Devin Clark||vs.||+190 Alex Nicholson|
+150 Michael McDonald – You would think he would be the favorite in this position. He has the size and height advantage to Lineker.
+230 Cody Pfister – Cody has great wrestling and may be able to take a decision. Scott hasn’t fought top competition yet, and still has a big question mark on him. I’m not uber confident here, but I see value.
+155 Rani Yahya – This is also a great value. Matthew Lopez has never fought in the UFC, and has a padded record.
-178 Over 1.5 rds John vs Michael – This bantamweight competition will almost certainly go past 1.5 rds.
-140 Under 1.5 rds Tony vs Landon – Landon is a complete tomato can. Padded record, no UFC fights, size disadvantage. Ferguson is going to sweep the floor with Landon.
-125 Ben Nguyen – Ben “10” has looked phenomenal in the UFC so far. Good chance he finishes Smolka. Ben 10 is an up and coming prospect somehow being swept under the rug!
-147 Under 2.5 rds Sam vs Eric – Smilin Sam Alvey is going to KO Eric Spicely. If not, Spicely will KO Alvey. I can’t see this going the distance.
-178 Over 1.5 rds Devin vs Alex – Devin has one past 1.5 rounds in his past 3 fights against non-UFC fighters. Alex has only had one fight, and lost it, in the UFC.
+150 Under 1.5 rds Josh vs Tim – Boetsch is either KO’ing Josh Samman, or getting KO’d by Samman. The latter being much more likely. Tim has went to decision in only 35% of his fights, and was KO’d early in his past 3 fights.
My Parlays (in order of confidence):
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