Sports Betting Handicap for Bellator 158: Daley vs Lima

UFC Sioux Falls was a barn burner! Wow, did Landon Vannata show up! I’m excited to see him fight again. Almost pulled off the upset on El Cucuy. On Wednesday my picks went 3-6 and provided a loss of 3.05u. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 14-19 and has provided a profit of +0.82u assuming 1u per bet.

Full Fight Card:

Welterweight +161 Paul Daley vs. -184 Douglas Lima
Heavyweight -258 Matt Mitrione vs. +223 Oli Thompson
Welterweight -862 Michael Page vs. +643 Evangelista Santos
Light Heavyweight +403 Łukasz Klinger vs. -493 Francis Carmont
Featherweight -385 James Gallagher vs. +323 Mike Cutting

Value Picks:

+643 Evangelista Santos – I’m not sold on Page yet. He has not been tested. Santos might be able to pull of a 1st round submission. Great value here. The odds are so lopsided due to the Venom hype train.



+161 Paul Daley – Lima has fought 3 times in the past 3 years. Daley has crazy power, and the home crowd advantage. I see good value in taking Daley, and truly believe he wins this fight.

-128 Under 1.5 rds Klinger vs Carmont – Klinger has literally never had a fight go past 1.5 rounds.


Straight Picks:

+115 Under 2.5 rds Daley vs Lima – Good chance one of these boys gets a finish.

-129 Over 1.5 rds Gallagher vs Cutting – Neither fighter is very good. Gallagher should take this by decision. Not sure why the over under is 1.5 on this fight. Gallagher reminds me of a terrible McGregor (considering they are training partners too). Cutting has terrible striking and throws garbage submission attempt after garbage submission attempt.


My Parlays (in order of confidence):

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