Sports Betting Handicap for Bellator 159: Caldwell vs Taimanglo

A high quality show was put on by Bellator last week, with what looks to be another good card coming up tonight. Lima put on a great performance against Daley, proving his skill level. Santos suffered an absolutely devastating KO by Venom that managed to crack his skull. Tomorrow night is UFC on Fox in Chicago with Holm vs Shevchenko. Last Saturday my picks went 2-3 and provided a loss of 1.44u. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 16-22 and has provided a loss of 0.62u assuming 1u per bet.

Full Fight Card:

Catchweight (138 lbs) -1695 Darrion Caldwell vs. +1065 Joe Taimanglo
Catchweight (158 lbs) +141 Melvin Guillard vs. -160 David Rickels
Women’s Flyweight -264 Bruna Vargas vs. +228 Emily Ducote
Featherweight -243 Daniel Weichel vs. +211 Emmanuel Sanchez

Value Picks:

+1065 1u Joe Taimanglo – +1065!? Are you kidding me? What a deal! Joe just recently beat former UFC fighter Sirwan Kakai. This doesn’t mean I think he’ll win against Caldwell, but the odds should be much closer to +500 if you had to ask me.

+210 1u Under 2.5 rds Weichel vs Sanchez – Only 25% of Weichel’s fights have went to decision. Statistically featherweight fights have around a 50% chance of going to decision as well. At +210, there is good value here.


-160 2u David Rickels – Guillard doesn’t seem to really care anymore. He’s looked abysmal his past 3 performances. No cardio, misses weight. I’d be surprised if Rickels can’t take advantage here.

Straight Picks:

+211 1u Emmanuel Sanchez – Daniel Weichel hasn’t looked impressive recently. Sanchez is a tough brawler, and I think he overwhelms Weichel with pressure to take the win here.

-152 1u Under 2.5 rds Guillard vs Rickels – Rickels will either get the finish, or Guillard gets the early KO.

My Parlays (in order of confidence):

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