Sports Betting Handicap for UFC on Fox 20: Holm vs Shevchenko

Big upset last night by Joe over Caldwell with a great early 3rd round finish in Bellator’s main event! Last night my picks went 2-3 and provided a profit of +7.3u. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 18-25 and has provided a profit of +6.67u.

Full Fight Card:

Women’s Bantamweight -206 Holly Holm vs. +180 Valentina Shevchenko
Lightweight -206 Edson Barboza vs. +180 Gilbert Melendez
Heavyweight -621 Francis Ngannou vs. +490 Bojan Mihajlović
Women’s Strawweight -106 Felice Herrig vs. -106 Kailin Curran
Preliminary Card (Fox)
Bantamweight -159 Frankie Saenz vs. +140 Eddie Wineland
Featherweight -223 Darren Elkins vs. +194 Godofredo Pepey
Welterweight -238 Kamaru Usman vs. +207 Alexander Yakovlev
Lightweight -218 Michel Prazeres vs. +190 J.C. Cottrell
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Welterweight -206 Alex Oliveira vs. +180 James Moontasri
Featherweight -178 Jim Alers vs. +156 Jason Knight
Heavyweight +130 Luis Henrique vs. -147 Dmitry Smoliakov

Value Picks:

+194 2u Godofredo Pepey – Young prospect from Brazil on a 3 win streak by 1st round finish.

+206 1u Alexander Yakovlev – Usman has only had 2 fights in the UFC. I like the value here.


-183 2u Edson Barboza – Melendez hasn’t fought in over a year. Barboza is looking sharp recently, and this should be a good striking matchup for him.

Straight Picks:

-206 1u Holly Holm – With the size and experience advantage, it should be a good decision victory for Holm.

-178 1u Under 1.5 rds Ngannou vs Mihajlović – Ngannou is being fed a tomato can from Serbia. The last guy Mihajlović fought was 0-4. Should be a quick one.

-206 1u Alex Oliveira – Great kickboxing, should take this win over Moon Walker.

+130 1u Luis Henrique – Dmitry has only fought tomato cans. Hoping Luis’ grappling experience allows him to win this fight.

My Parlays (in order of confidence):

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