Sports Betting Handicap for UFC 201: Lawler vs Woodley

A disappointing performance by Holly Holm last week. An excellent card overall that I had the pleasure of seeing in person! Last week my picks went 4-3 and provided a loss of 1.1u. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 22-28 and has provided a profit of +5.57u.

Full Fight Card:

Welterweight -140 Robbie Lawler (c) vs. +130 Tyron Woodley [a]
Women’s Strawweight -175 Rose Namajunas vs. +165 Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Welterweight -260 Matt Brown vs. +240 Jake Ellenberger
Bantamweight +130 Francisco Rivera vs. -140 Érik Pérez
Flyweight -105 Ryan Benoit vs. -105 Fredy Serrano
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 2)
Light Heavyweight +205 Ed Herman vs. -225 Nikita Krylov
Welterweight +235 Ross Pearson vs. -255 Jorge Masvidal
Heavyweight -115 Anthony Hamilton vs. +105 Damian Grabowski
Flyweight -345 Wilson Reis vs. +315 Hector Sandoval
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Welterweight -220 Michael Graves vs. +200 Bojan Veličković
Lightweight +105 César Arzamendia vs. -115 Damien Brown

Value Picks:

+235 1u Ross Pearson – He’s got a chance for sure. He may get dominated via wrestling, but Ross has a punchers chance.

+185 1u Under 2.5 rds Graves vs Velickovic – Beefy, inexperienced welterweights. Could be a finish. Good odds.



-175 2u Rose Namajunas – Thug rose is on a roll, and getting better. Very excited for her. Karolina did not look very good in her last fight and underperformed.

-260 2u Matt Brown – Matt is a destroyer. Jake Ellenberger is good, but not good enough to beat the great. Matt is great. Poor Jake, he’s been through the ringer.

Straight Picks:

+130 1u Tyrone Woodley – He’s got a good chance to take this. Robbie has been in several wars. I’m a believer that Robbie’s magic is going to run out soon. He’s over 30, and has fought a very damaging style, only recently toning it down.

-100 1u Ryan Benoit – Of course I’m going to bet against the 36 year old Colombian.

-129 1u Under 1.5 rds Krylov vs Herman – Krylov is a banger. Does not care for defense. 24 fights, never a decision.


*+135 1u Ben Fodor – This is a WSOF fight! Brother vs brother. I’m leaning Phoenix Jones.

My Parlays (in order of confidence):


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Nitrogensports is also having a great promo for UFC 200 and this entire July month:

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