Sports Betting Handicap for UFC Fight Night 92: Rodriguez vs Caceres

A bit of a tough week! Jake Ellengberger is back, and destroyed Matt Brown. I was shocked. Hoping to see Woodley vs Nick Diaz soon. Last week my picks went 3-5 and provided a loss of 3.9u. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 25-33 and has provided a profit of +1.65u.

Full Fight Card:

Featherweight -265 Yair Rodríguez vs. +245 Alex Caceres
Featherweight -235 Dennis Bermudez vs. +215 Rony Jason
Middleweight -165 Thales Leites vs. +155 Chris Camozzi
Welterweight -115 Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. +105 Zak Cummings
Middleweight +110 Trevor Smith vs. -120 Joe Gigliotti
Women’s Strawweight -270 Maryna Moroz vs. +230 Danielle Taylor
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)
Welterweight -210 Court McGee vs. +190 Dominique Steele
Heavyweight +125 Viktor Pešta vs. -135 Marcin Tybura
Lightweight -145 David Teymur vs. +135 Jason Novelli
Featherweight -220 Teruto Ishihara vs. +200 Horacio Gutiérrez
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Featherweight -300 Cub Swanson vs. +270 Tatsuya Kawajiri
Heavyweight +110 Chase Sherman vs. -120 Justin Ledet

Value Picks:

+155 1u Chris Camozzi – He has shown improvement since being dominated by Souza, while Leites seems to be on a downtrend. Hopefully Camozzi doesn’t blow it.

+190 2u Dominique Steele – Dom hits like a Mack truck. McGee is not the same fighter he once was. He did not look good against Santiago in his last fight. Dom by KO. I’m confident.

Locks:

 

265 2u Yair Rodriguez – Bruce Leeroy has flashy kicks but hits like a pillow. Yair will take him out.

-220 1u Teruto Ishihara – This kid is crazy and tough. Kind of a weirdo. I think he gets the finish.

Straight Picks:

+120 1u Under 2.5 rds Ponzinibbio vs Cummings – Two hard hitters, I see a TKO.

-117 1u Under 1.5 rds Sherman vs Ledet – Between the two of these guys, they’ve gone over 1.5 rounds in 2 out of 16 combined fights.

 

My Parlays (in order of confidence):

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