Sports Betting Handicap for UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2

Really thought Dom Steele won his fight, which would have made for a good week. Would have been sitting at 2u profit. Instead we went 2-4 last week with a loss 3.8u. Gotta be pumped this week with Nate Diaz though! Stockton 209 fellas. It’s gonna be all Diaz. Overall, TopMMAOdds picks have been 27-37 and has provided a loss of 2.15u.

Full Fight Card:

Welterweight +110 Nate Diaz vs. -130 Conor McGregor
Light Heavyweight -190 Anthony Johnson vs. +165 Glover Teixeira
Welterweight +145 Rick Story vs. -165 Donald Cerrone
Welterweight -270 Hyun Gyu Lim vs. +230 Mike Perry
Welterweight -440 Tim Means vs. +350 Sabah Homasi
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)
Bantamweight -600 Cody Garbrandt vs. +450 Takeya Mizugaki
Women’s Bantamweight -260 Raquel Pennington vs. +220 Elizabeth Phillips
Featherweight -115 Artem Lobov vs. -105 Chris Avila
Women’s Strawweight -140 Randa Markos vs. +120 Cortney Casey
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Welterweight -140 Neil Magny vs. +120 Lorenz Larkin
Welterweight -345 Colby Covington vs. +285 Max Griffin
Middleweight +150 Alberto Uda vs. -170 Marvin Vettori

Value Picks:

+450 1u Takeya Mizugaki – Probably the most experienced fighter Cody has faced in his career. The veteran could out wrestle Cody.

Locks:

+110 3u Nate Diaz – Easy money. McGregor can’t get the KO, sub or decision here. He showed he can’t KO Diaz. Diaz has only been KO’d once in his 13 year career. His jiu jitsu and cardio are miles ahead of Connor. How are the odds this great?

-105 1u Chris Avila – Got to be honest, bias towards the Diaz camp for this one. Lobov has been very unimpressive as well. Chris needs to avoid the wild hooks Lobov will throw.

+110 1u Over 1.5 rds Johnson vs Teixeira – Teixeira has only been KO’d once in his career. And I don’t see him finishing Rumble.

-175 1u Anthony Johnson – At these odds, I see some value.

Straight Picks:

+145 1u Rick Story – Cerrone has issues with strong pressure fighters. Also the long career of Cerrone has to eventually begin taking a toll.

-140 1u Neil Magny – Magny is on a hot streak. He knows how to keep his range against heavy hitters, and even get the finish.

-129 1u Over 1.5 rds Uda vs Vettori – Don’t see a reason these competitors don’t go longer than 1.5 rds.

 

My Parlays (in order of confidence):

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